Prediction markets want to be the news
Decoder with Nilay Patel
- Published
- March 5, 2026
- Duration
- 45:24
- Summary source
- description
- Last updated
- Apr 29, 2026
Discusses Today let’s talk about prediction markets, which continue to insert themselves into the news cycle a…
Summary
Today let’s talk about prediction markets, which continue to insert themselves into the news cycle and the news in increasingly weird, unsettling, and potentially illegal ways. My guest today is Liz Lopatto, a senior reporter at The Verge who owns what we cheerfully call the chaos beat. Liz has been writing a lot about prediction markets lately and especi…
Show notes
Today let’s talk about prediction markets, which continue to insert themselves into the news cycle and the news in increasingly weird, unsettling, and potentially illegal ways. My guest today is Liz Lopatto, a senior reporter at The Verge who owns what we cheerfully call the chaos beat. Liz has been writing a lot about prediction markets lately and especially why they all seem so intent on being perceived as sources of news — a position which directly incentivizes insider trading. That in turn c